Has anyone else noticed the difference in odds for cards in hanger boxes from Target and Wal-Mart when looking at odds on the back of 2021 Topps Series 2 Hanger Boxes?
For example:
odds for a Cut Signature or 70th Anniversery Ticket are 1:38,432 from Target and 1:85,920 for Wal-Mart.
At first I thought this looked like there were a lot fewer Target Boxes manufactured than Wal-Mart but looking at the odds further some cards have better odds from Wal-Mart so it can't be that simple.
For the most part I have noticed Target generally has better odds once you get to the rarer cards but that doesn't always hold true. For the 1986 All Star inserts the base, blue, and black variations have the same odds for both. For the Platinum Anniversery parallel the odds are 1:534 \ 1:531 in favor of Wal-Mart. For the Red the odds are 1:3,844 / 1:3,736 in favor of Wal-Mart. For the Gold the odds are 1:38,432 \ 1:42,960 in favor of Target.
The odds are the same to a certain point (approx cutoff is 1:500) and I would think odds would increasingly get better for one over the other but the fact that some odds are better for Target (usually the rarest odds) and some are better for Wal-Mart (usually the middle odds) point to odds not being tied to production levels. Does anyone know why this is?
