General Forum

I'm curious about something:

Will modern-day rookie cards (e.g. McDavid YG 201, etc.) appreciate over the years as have rookie cards of the past?

With the present-day mechanics of cataloguing, grading, etc. taking some of the mystique out of The Hobby (good, bad, or indifferent), is there any reason to believe that a $2,000 card today will be worth tens of thousands in 40 years?

If this conversation has happened already in this forum, please forgive me and point me to it; I searched but didn't quite find a comparable thread. Thanks!

I think only time will tell.

The odds are:    YES!!!    but which one is the question.    How many of the $2000 cards will be less then $2000?

Indeed. I wonder if there are any studies or the like done on this kind of thing.

Right?! It could certainly go both ways. IF McDavid never wins a Cup, does his card value remain or decline? 

That sounds like a proposition to begin "said" study...any takers with me?

   Come on... 

     Becks

Sounds good, Becks. How do we get started? :-)

The problem I have with the card market these days is that there are two dozen versions of every rookie.  If a player shows promis they'll put 3 or 4 cards in the set of that single player.  Then there are the dozens of variations and special versions of cards.  I'm sure the special edition tripple pink pokadot numbered versions will always remain high priced but it goes back to the old saying that something is only worth what someone is willing to pay. 

It only takes one buyer to believe something is worth a lot of money for it to sell for that lot of money price.  Just look at ebay prices for some of the "junk" era cards.  Hall of Famer cards are actually starting to creep up in price and occationally you see one sell for crazy money.  Most people here wouldn't see them worth $10+ but clearly a collector thought they were worth it and paid it... so guess what, that makes them worth that much since someone was willing to pay it!  When it comes to these super limited edition special color versioned cards, because they are shorter prints, you'll find people willing to pay as long as the player is someone of note.

I find it hard to believe anyone would pay $2000 for a new card in the first place. But I guess that's fodder for another forum.

The dollar value will rise due to the devaluation of the currency caused by inflation.  Whether it outpaces inflation is the question.